Serenity Now!
Written by Kyle Kujawa   
Saturday, 31 October 2009 01:46

Please excuse the over 24 hours late recap. Last night left me punishing my head against a wall. When I regained consciousness, I was in and out of the emergency room as I worked on my weekly Winging it in Motown article. I knew what everyone would write their game recap on, and I knew what I needed to write mine on. I just didn't want to do it, because it's not going to be the popular opinion.

Sometimes, we just know too much about hockey.

I was quite enthused about one James Howard, and his performance against the NHL team known as the Vancouver Canucks. Osgood put the team in a, seemingly, unspeakable hole early in the game and I nearly thought the game was over. Howard came in, and while he looked god awful doing it, he made the saves he needed to make, had no chance on the two goals he let up, but rallied as Detroit took the victory. Victory, such an underused word these days.

In my recap, I was elated. As someone who has watched Howard in the NCAA and AHL, a good two/three dozen times, I know what the guy is capable of. I was never too happy with Howard in his previous NHL stints. Sometimes he just didn't look ready, other times the team in front of him just didn't gel and sat too far back on their heels with a rookie goalie in net. It's a common mistake, but not something that should lead to a goalie going 1-7 in three year's worth of games. I wrote some things, that eerily came into play after the Edmonton game. Here's a sample:

  • "I was amazed at the number of people writing him off, especially about him being a "bust draft pick." "
  • Let's hope that confidence will help him iron out some of the rebound issues, and we can still count on him for reliable backup minutes.
  • I think you've got to ride out Howard until he falls apart (he likely will, but don't write him off again, please).

I asked, passionately. This is a rookie goaltender. I don't care how old his is, he's going to hit some bumps. Those bumps are going to look like mountains when you've got a team in front of him that refuses to take care of the puck in their own end and refuses to play in the 1st period like they do in the 3rd.

But what do I see after yesterday's game? Essentially, Howard's head called for on a platter. I'm surprised there isn't a bounty on his head, to be quite honest.

I don't mean everyone, though. I had a good discussion with Chris at Motown Wings about it -- he was the only one I could bring myself to respond to. Because Chris gave reasons why he's unhappy with Howard. What I'm absolutely sick of hearing is how Howard "doesn't look like an NHL goaltender." What does that mean? What am I supposed to say to that? How many people saying this are actually goalie coaches? Because I'm sure not, so I admit that I don't know everything to look for. What I do know is that Jimmy Howard is a 25-year-old goaltender that Detroit has groomed, nitpicked, and observed much more frequently than I have for the past five seasons. If they did not believe that he was an NHL goaltender, he would not be in the NHL. Detroit is painfully picky with their prospects, if they did not believe he was capable of 25-30 games, there would be three goalies on Detroit, or Howard would be part of an ugly goaltending committee on a team like Toronto or the Islanders. Joey MacDonald much?

Yet, many fans are absolutely done with him. A guy who has spent a grand total of three weeks in the NHL. Sure, he had spotty time in a few seasons before that, but what kind of unfair pressure is it on a goalie to say "here, you get this one start right now and if you don't play well, you'll never see the NHL again." I thought Howard was good in most of those games, much better than a 1-6 record. But he sucked against St. Louis, and then again last night. But keep these things in mind (bullets are nice):

  • Chris Osgood, for the second straight season, has not outperformed Howard by any stretch and has showed no signs of putting together a reasonable season.
  • Chris Osgood let up two of the weakest goals in his career against Vancouver, and Howard held on to get the win.
  • Jimmy Howard is a rookie goalie -- name me a rookie goalie that was flawless (or even close to it) as a rookie and I'll close down this blog right now. It's rocky road, look no further than superstars like Roberto Luongo, J-S Giguere, and Miikka Kiprusoff as guys who needed multiple NHL stops before they put that together. Am I putting Howard in that company? No. But I'm saying that teams who gave up early on goaltenders regretted it later.
  • Jimmy Howard had a .936 save percentage in his relief effort against Buffalo, and his start against Colorado and Vancouver. As I told Chris at Motown, goalie stats mean nothing this early in the year (and look no further than Osgood's 08/09 regular season vs. his playoff to see what they mean overall), but you can't look at that and say he's been absolutely awful.
  • Detroit has not had a rookie goalie since the Maracle/Hodson days. Joey MacDonald does not count, I think Detroit kept him on the roster accidentally.
  • Howard actually saved a few pucks in the second and third period -- even overtime. And, gasp, he didn't just bend over and take it in the shootout like every other goalie we've had since the shootout era started.

That said, Howard sucked last night. Inexcusable. For some reason, he was sliding all over the ice and he even tripped over himself two or three times. Nerves? Bad ice? Untied skates? Lack of talent? All four? Who knows? He needs to be better. But the amount of people writing him off -- after he bailed out Osgood against Vancouver. He made a dozen huge saves, there's no way we wouldn't have had two points in that game if Babcock left Osgood in for another goal.

And as I predicted -- and a few people emphasize in the comments to that post, he was bound to fall apart. That's the way it goes for rookie goalies. Especially rookie goalies who were never consistently stellar in the AHL (though to be fair, he was not nearly as inconsistent in the AHL as some are making it out to be right now, just because it's easy to throw that out there and make him sound like a joke) and were not really drooled over in their draft season. But how can you see that one game and determine that's it for him? Under different circumstances, I might agree. but I watched the goals over and over again. And if you can all sit there and tell me that the defense did their job on all of those goals -- again, I will give up this blog right now and stop watching hockey. I feel insane sometimes. Why isn't anyone else talking about this. How 'bout this -- quick breakdown.

Here are the highlights. They're not long -- right now we're just focusing on the two and a half minutes which features Howard getting lit up for five goals. Watch them -- and please, let me know if you agree with me or not here.

Goal #1 -- Rafalski gets mauled behind the net and falls, a common defense mechanism for him. Cleary and Bertuzzi drift behind and chases the puck. In doing so, one of them (or some other neglectful defender on the ice) leaves an Oiler that I cannot identify wide open in front of the net. He gets a centering feed and puts it on net and Stuart steps into him, Howard makes a nice pad save and kicks the rebound over to the boards, where it should be. Filppula fires a weak clearing attempt up the boards that is stopped, and Cleary and Bertuzzi basically abandon the defensive zone. An Oiler takes the puck and centers it to JF Jacques in the middle of the ice. I believe this is where Howard's mistake was, as he set himself for a Jacques' shot. Jacques either let the puck go past him or just missed it (this is likely, he's not good) and Pouliot has a glorious chance that Howard gets a piece of. Jacques puts in the rebound and Rafalski does his best statue impression in front, not moving from the point of Pouliot's shot to the moment after Jacques scored. Howard was down and out and had no chance, but made himself look extra scrub like by spinning and sliding to basically the low slot. I think there were three faults here, it doesn't all fall on Howard. Filppula should have cleared, Rafalski should have done.. anything in front of the net, and Howard should have picked up that he had a 3-on-1 and not a 2-on-1.

Goal #2 -- Rafalski (whoa, common theme already!?!) gets absolutely walked by Hemsky inside the blueline. He thought he was a blitzing linebacker or something -- there is no need to charge at a dangerous stickhandler like Ales Hemsky. He totally flies past and basically vacates the zone. This creates an odd-man situation down low, but Hemsky (who suffers from superstar syndrome -- everything he does has to be highlight reel, even though he'd be much better if he kept it simple) loses it to Zetterberg, who loses it in the corner. Hemsky centers a pass to a defenseman in the high slot who unleashes a high shot that Howard makes a nice save on. The rebound goes airborne, and Penner outmuscles Rafalski (no way, really?!) and bats it in out of mid-air. I don't actually blame Rafalski for getting outmuslced because Penner is 6'4 and currently on fire. The only fault on this play in my eyes is Rafalski for getting blown past in the first place. I don't see how you can expect Howard to perfect corral that high shot when he had to move from his post to the top of the crease. The rebound wasn't great, but it wasn't terrible. It was up in the air and it was headed to the side of the ice, and not up the middle which is traditionally where "bad rebounds" live. Think about how absolutely perfect that timing had to be for Penner to get to the front of the net at just that moment and be able to bat the puck in, under the crossbar, before Howard could react. Also on the play, Ken Daniels says raises doubts about his own sexuality by saying, "and it's a hot guy who gets it!" as Penner scores.

Goal #3 -- Penalty kill, so we know right from here how fun this one is going to be. One of the biggest problems with the penalty kill is the fact that Detroit allows the cross ice pass way too easily. This time, Hemsky seams it across the ice for a one-timer, which is out of the 6'5 Jonathan Ericsson's reach so that should tell you that he had no idea where the cross ice man (aka "his" man) was standing. Ericsson did block the one-time attempt, and it went out front. Filppula engaged an Oiler for it and lost, and Howard tripped over his skates pushing to the middle of the ice (d'oh). The Oiler got it to Hemsky. Howard pushed over too far and left Hemsky a lot of net to shoot at, but still, Hemsky picked his corner. I do think this was Howard's worst goal of the game. Ericsson blew the cross-ice pass to start it all, but the defense did have the pass covered once Hemsky had the puck. Hemsky hesitated, and Howard pushed over too far -- I think tripping and falling may have thrown him off, because he had to get over a little quicker than he should have needed to. I think a little less of a push and a little more of a challenge would have been good, because Hemsky would have had less net to shoot at and he, theoretically, wouldn't have been able to pass it across and take advantage of Howard being aggressive. But aggressiveness typically goes hand in hand with confidence. Raise your hand right now if you think Howard was at all feeling confident before taking on this shot. Still, bad.

Goal #4 -- Bertuzzi fired an ill-advised pass to Rafalski (gasp!) who lost it to Penner (?) who springs Hemsky for a clear breakaway. Hemsky fakes, dekes to the backhand and puts it five hole. It wasn't the prettiest deke, but I let Howard off the hook. As I mentioned earlier, Hemsky suffers from superstar syndrome. He, like pretty much every roller hockey player I've ever played with, feels the need to make every breakaway look as effortless as possible. As a result, Hemsky has become quite adept at making goalies look stupid by keeping the puck on the ice and minimizing movements to keep goalies guessing. He's easily one of the best in the league at this. He's got one of the best career shootout percentages, and I can assure you that 80% of the shootout goals he's scored were in this same vein. He waits as long as he can to make a move, and then makes one quick move to open the goalie's five hole. He'll try to go five hole, and if he doesn't he'll try to put it off the post. Bertuzzi was the most at fault here, but I don't understand what Rafalski was doing either. Howard challenged, but Hemsky hit his five hole. Didn't look great, but there's not much he can do. It's Hemsky. Maybe on another player I'd look at it differently. But Hemsky made no mistake on the move, he knew exactly what he was going to do.

Goal #5 -- I'm not even going to get into this and try to sum up what happened one play at a time. Howard made a great point blank save on Penner to start off the play, and then things get messy as the Oilers have four or five whacks at a lose puck while Penner is down and out. All I want you to notice on this one is that Penner was all over Howard's legs, and the puck was loose for a couple of seconds. Tell me right now if Penner was Holmstrom, would he have been called for goaltender interference. And if the ref was Brad Watson, would the play have been allowed to continue that long? It was loose, so it's the right call, but this just seems like the kind of play Detroit gets screwed on a dozen times a season, Howard flailed and did all he could, but no Detroit defenseman was able to bail him out and Edmonton eventually scored. You can't really fault the defense, you can't really fault Howard. If you don't like the term "puck luck" look at a play like to this understand the difference between teams who catch breaks and teams who don't.

Is all of this fair? I need some feedback here. I spent about 45 minutes there watching each goal frame by frame about 15-20 times. To clarify, I'm not at all trying to argue that Howard played well. Because the goals were only part of it, Howard did a lot of random flailing and looked like an entirely different goalie than he did against Vancouver. But he got the job done, and I'd argue that we'd be hearing none of this if Howard only surrendered two or three.

Anyway, I'm not too happy with the Wings right now. I do think that the Wings are extremely lucky to get a point. I really want to leave the discussion for this open to Howard-only, but I do have a few other thoughts. First, Leino and Cleary have been invisible lately, and Leino was the guy I singled out for being the best in the Sweden games. Second, why did Datsyuk and Zetterberg shoot on Khabibulin. Especially against Datsyuk, Khabibulin is someone who has been miserable against Detroit over the years. He bites on dekes. Both of them took a shot from the slot like they were shooting on a goalie in warm ups. If they don't want to play in the shootout, they shouldn't be forced to play.

And the perfect icing on the cake is that Filppula broke his wrist and is out 6-8 weeks. Wooo! What now? Eurotwins are obviously broken up based on the fact that Helm, Abdelkader, Draper, and Williams are the team's only natural centers. Eaves and Helm were actually great against Edmonton so hopefully either one of them will get some ice time. So I'm not even going to play around with lines tonight, because they'll depress me.

What I do want to suggest is what happens if Detroit loses out the rest of this road trip? They'll be without Filppula still, and Franzen, -- and that's missing a lot of their high end offensive firepower. I almost wonder if Detroit would take a chance and just call up a guy like Cory Emmerton, Mattias Ritola, or even Dick Axelsson or Tomas Tatar, and just give them a few games on the top two lines. Why not? The need for high end skill is reaching desperate levels. These guys aren't NHL ready, which is very against how Detroit usually deals with young players. But Detroit doesn't usually have two of their top six forwards out during their worst season start in recent team history. Just saying, it might be time to think outside the box.



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Comments (11)add comment

zach (ziggy) said:

...
I dislike the performance of both goalies, and, as I've mentioned to you, would still like someone to push Ozzie, or, give up someone we can count on. Howard is too technically funky, sliding around and limited lateral movement in the last game. Ozzie has been a goalie trying to 'find himself' again, I must say though, it is the team that is hanging them out to dry. Looking at the goals from last game, we don't clear it well, and it seems they wait for a goalie to scramble and make a save to hae any composure at all.

Raffi might just be showing his age as a defenseman, he's a pretty small guy, and is still producing offensively, but, he needs defensive help.

Our loss of offense had me looking at Nylander, but, you pointed out his huge contract, making that just inviable.

I think the 'bounty' on the Wing's goalie is unfamiliar desperation, and, the yearning to correct a deficiency that won't hurt the team. A 3rd goalie adds another option, and people want a course correction early.

At the end of the day, when we're down, we're mortal, and, as such, we react like mere fans, we cannot complain about the little things, because we have big issues, we react like fanatics, calling for 35yo forwards and new goalies, we want a quick fix for a tough road, and, can you really blame us?



 
October 31, 2009
Votes: +0

Baroque said:

...
Growing pains for a rookie goalie - ANY rookie goalie - are always ugly, and most teams have had to go through them at some point. Detroit hasn't in years and years.

It's like a baseball team that tries to get by without ever seeing the growing pains of a rookie pitcher. Commit to getting him starts, and he will lose games by fielding poorly, giving up home runs, getting flustered and nervous and walking too many people; bring him in as a reliever and he will cost the team games by coughing up late leads. But let him try to work out of jams, and learn from his inevitable failures, and work through a rookie wall, and by the end of the season a talented young guy with good stuff but no experience whatsoever becomes Rick Porcello, staff ace-in-the-making, confident starter, and beater-down of Kevin Youkilis.

Steep learning curves are inevitably ugly, but making mistakes is the only way to learn. Fleury was ghastly his first year and then some in the league, but the whole team was so crappy that it didn't matter - he could be allowed to learn because they were going to lose a ton of games anyway. Now he is fine. It just took a while. Include players whose developmental years were in Europe as well as in the minors, and good teams tend to avoid going with rookie goalies unless they have no choice because they want a proven goalie if thye have any chance to win at all. Sometimes that just isn't possible although it is the safe choice.

Taking a step backwards in the short term to take more steps forward in the long term? I at least think it is possible that is what the management is thinking.
 
October 31, 2009
Votes: +0

Waltdetroit said:

...
I think all opponents get up for the wings and play a faster game, especially when we are down and playing soft (the go-for-a-kill, now-is-time-4-revenge syndrome as we have been cleaning them off the ice for years). Howard still just doesn't impress overall and there is not enough great play to project great potential. I like Howard. He makes some excellent saves but doesn't seem to be thinking a step ahead when it comes to rebounds or his own position when he flops. Neither do the defencemen.

The wings have too many new players to be real consistent as yet on the forward lines (and yet we keep scoring)which leads me to my greatest contention of the RW's; what is happening to our vaulted defense? These are all vets (except Eriksson)with years of playing together but look confused and out of position. They should be leading the team, the pillars of strength. We should be winning 3-1 or 3-2. We don't seem to hold 3rd period leads but are able to come back when down multiple goals. Babcock feels we have enough forwards and I agree. It is the play of the D that sucks. (On another note (I vent)- last year when Chelios was on his farewell tour the Wings kept Meech, a small versatile smooth skating/passing defenceman instead of Quincey, a bigger body who moved people from in front of the net, with a great shot. We need different strengths from our defencemen and someone who is a physical presence in front of the net is a needed asset. Ledba could play forward when needed. In hindsight I wish it was the other way around as I don't see the wings keeping Meech next year.) Are we old or tired or just small?

Wishful Scenario - The Caps buy out Nylander and he takes a 1 year contract with the wings for the difference in $$. I believe he is owed $9 mil total for this & next year.

Do the wings have to feel that they are throwing in the towel for the year to bring up young skill? No. Do they really need more forwards in Detroit? No. We need a good face-off center for the 4th line if Draper moves. How is McGrath? I have only heard Jesper mentioned as a face-off artiste.
 
October 31, 2009
Votes: +0

r0bert8841 said:

...
I think you are being fair. I really don't think Howard looked bad at all. I get so confused why everytime Howard is in net it looks like the opponents get soooooo many chances handed to them on a golden platter. Is Howard just out of position alot so he has to make rediculous saves to bail himself out or is he giving up too many rebounds? I don't know, I think he has a problem covering up rebounds quickly, but he has definently looked better then Ozzie this road trip. I don't understand how the Oilers had so many great chances. I haven't taken the time to count but I bet if you were to count, Howard made more saves on these great chances then he let it. Then one Hemsky goal on the PP is the only one I fault him for.

I totally agree that people saying Howard isn't NHL ready is soo annoying. He isn't bad out their at all. Watching Thurs game, who would you say was the better goalie, Khabi or Howie? cause Khabi let is some pretty weak goals, actually all of them were pretty saveable except maybe Ericsson shot that was deflected and the Z one. I just hate it when people say that, how can someone honestly write that who is watching the games because he looks much better than ozzie out their.
 
October 31, 2009
Votes: +0

Graeme said:

...
I've never been impressed with Howard. However, he's the back up we have this season. It's not what I wanted, but it's what we have.

As far as I'm concerned, he should get just about every start for the next 2 months or so. Let's get him comfortable in net and see what he's capable of.

Given that the rest of the team doesn't give a fuck about winning, I see no reason to call him out specifically.

At this point I'm looking for bright spots wherever they come. The good news is, if this team doesn't live up to expectations, next summer will net us more changes than this summer did.

In theory what was done this summer was good. It may still prove to be. If not, I trust the logic under which the front office is laboring, and I think the team will be back on track sooner rather than later. If not this season, next; if not next season, the one after that.

That's how it goes. As I've told all my girlfriends and I now tell my wife, I'm in a long term relationship with this team. I enjoy the ups, so I weather the downs. In the meantime, I'm just avoiding any and all headlines that mention the Penguins. Unfortunately, since you made the site over, you're flashing penguins in my face, Kyle. I don't like it.
 
October 31, 2009
Votes: +0

RobRo said:

Goal 2
Honestly, I think you're giving Penner too much credit for Goal #2 above. I watched the replay a few times, and it looks like the puck goes off the shaft of his stick and past Howard into the net. Granted, it doesn't change anything from Thursday.

I thought Howard was solid on Thursday. He didn't look good, but most of the goals were not his fault as you pointed out. I'm a bit upset with the D on the 5th goal. How are there 3 Edmonton guys allowed to stand on top of Howard just whacking away at him? It was a good non-call by the official to let them play, but someone needs to be punished in front of the net.

I'm sick of watching other teams take liberties with our goalies without seeing a defender make them think twice about coming near our goalie. Look at what other teams were allowed to do to us last year during the playoffs. May can only fight so many people. The defenders need to step it up big time.
 
October 31, 2009 | url
Votes: +0

KyleKujawa said:

...
Good stuff guys, I'm glad to see I'm not the only one who's ready to ship Howard down the river because I felt that way when I was writing that last night. Hence the attention to detail. He needs to be better for sure.

Baroque hit the nail on the head. Whether you bring them in at 21 or 25, there's still a learning curve. Ideally at 25 they're more experienced, but that doesn't mean it's easier for them to adjust. Howard at 21 was much heavier, much slower, and, if you can believe it, even more of a guesserflopper. As much as I didn't like it at the time, Howard needed every minute that he got in Grand Rapids and I hope Larsson and McCollum get the same treatment.

I just think it boils down to fans not remembering what we've gone through with goalies because it's been so long since we didn't just sign a free agent to fill a hole. And, in all honesty, I think less of Howard than I do of Larsson and McCollum. I didn't expect he was going to come in and challenge Osgood for the starting job. Unfortunately that's kind of happened, since Osgood seems content to try to lose it.

Robert, I agree, the goals that Khabibulin let up were worse. Helm just plain beat him high, not exactly a sniper, Eaves' goal was pretty weak and he just wasn't set. Z's was flukey, Ericsson's was a perfect shot but still -- no traffic. I wonder what some people might say if Howard let up a goal from that location right now. Bert's was a nice shot too, but I'm not sure how set Khabibulin was.

Walt, McGrath's game is more tailored to the 3rd or 4th line. I really do like where he is at right now. But was I was thinking was that, if Detroit lost tonight and came back to Detroit and struggled, they might want to bring up a high-skill prospect and just throw them in the fire. Five or six games for a prospect isn't going to ruin him. Who knows, they might get really lucky.

Graeme, I do apologize. Do what I do, don't think of it as a penguin, it's a bloguin. I don't know what that means, but either way.. it doesn't look intimidating, penguins never do.

RobRo, I'm not sure whether or not he definitely batted it in, but I did want to emphasize how perfect his timing had to be for that. He got there just in time. That's the kind of goal you score when you're on a good streak -- that's the kind of goal Detroit isn't scoring this season.
 
October 31, 2009 | url
Votes: +0

Waltdetroit said:

...
Kyle - Yes I see what you mean about bringing up some "high-skill", I thought you might be thinking the season is on the ropes already. We could bring up someone for a few games. I was just saying the RW's have Abie, Eaves, Helm, Leino etc who are kinda in the same boat & that could use the time to prove their worth too.

Detroit Red Wings Scratches
PLAYER REASON
V Filppula Broken Right Wrist
J Ericsson Flu-like Symptoms A Johnson
V Leino Healthy
 
November 01, 2009
Votes: +0

Waltdetroit said:

...
oops, sorry I didn't mean to paste that last part
 
November 01, 2009
Votes: +0

BrianW said:

...
Just saw this. I know your primary objective here was to look at Howard's performance, but I want to mention that Stuart was substantially at fault on both the first and fourth goals. On #1, he turned a mildly dangerous stuation, a 3-on-2 low in the zone, into a a 2-on-1 by going at the oiler in the corner. On #4, Hesmky was in a cherry-picking position, and with Rafalski receiving the pass attempt, Stuart should've been hedging defensively.
 
November 01, 2009
Votes: +0

KyleKujawa said:

Stuart
Nice catch. I'm with you on the first goal, that was a poor read. I don't think Stuart or Howard realized that there were three Oilers in the mix, just looking at how that all developed. 2-on-2 that's the right call, get right on the passer for pressure, but that wasn't the case. It's these little mistakes that are costing Detroit the most.

I'm just not sure about the fourth one though. I watched it again. The play by Bertuzzi was bad, and it looks worse each time as there were already two Oilers around Rafalski. I'm not really sure what Rafalski was doing before he received the pass, if I knew maybe I could blame him a little bit too. Stuart got caught flat-footed, but Hemsky's a great skater, and he was gone as soon as Bertuzzi made that pass. While he probably should have been backing off, the play happened way too quickly and I don't think he would have been able to do much.

I definitely see your point, but I'm not certain what Stuart could have done differently, other than look a little less lost as Hemsky sped away. Good observations, though.
 
November 02, 2009 | url
Votes: +0

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